The Tide Is Turning in Ukraine
リアクション
2026年05月21日
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➡️ Is the tide finally turning in Ukraine? Despite the Kremlin’s aggressive propaganda, the reality on the ground points to a massive, ongoing strategic failure for Moscow. Nearly 4,5 years into the full-scale invasion, Russia actually controls less territory than it did in March 2022, achieving only "negative progress" despite suffering well over 1 million casualties.
In today's video, I look past the headlines to analyze the complete stagnation of Russia's offensive capabilities. Russia has barely advanced at all over the last six months, falling well short of its previous pathetic pace despite constantly trying. From the total lack of major urban victories to the unsustainable cost of fighting over single towns like Chasiv Yar, Moscow is failing harder now than at any previous point in the war.
I also break down Ukraine's evolving two-part strategy to end the conflict: (1) trying to completely stop Russian advances on the front and (2) launching devastating deep strikes to dismantle Russia's war economy from within. Recent successes have proven that this strategy is genuinely working, even if achieving these tough objectives will take time.
What do you think about these latest developments? How much longer do you think this war will last? Will Putin ever actually negotiate, or will he choose to lose it all? Share your thoughts in the comments below, I try to answer most of them!
If you enjoyed this analysis, please like, comment, and subscribe to the channel for more regular updates.
➡️ My Buymeacoffee page (to help me pay for the editing of my videos):
https://buymeacoffee.com/joni_askola
➡️ To read my daily threads, follow me on :
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https://www.help99.co/patches/suomi-battalion-6-happiest-fella-nation
➡️ Is the tide finally turning in Ukraine? Despite the Kremlin’s aggressive propaganda, the reality on the ground points to a massive, ongoing strategic failure for Moscow. Nearly 4,5 years into the full-scale invasion, Russia actually controls less territory than it did in March 2022, achieving only "negative progress" despite suffering well over 1 million casualties.
In today's video, I look past the headlines to analyze the complete stagnation of Russia's offensive capabilities. Russia has barely advanced at all over the last six months, falling well short of its previous pathetic pace despite constantly trying. From the total lack of major urban victories to the unsustainable cost of fighting over single towns like Chasiv Yar, Moscow is failing harder now than at any previous point in the war.
I also break down Ukraine's evolving two-part strategy to end the conflict: (1) trying to completely stop Russian advances on the front and (2) launching devastating deep strikes to dismantle Russia's war economy from within. Recent successes have proven that this strategy is genuinely working, even if achieving these tough objectives will take time.
What do you think about these latest developments? How much longer do you think this war will last? Will Putin ever actually negotiate, or will he choose to lose it all? Share your thoughts in the comments below, I try to answer most of them!
If you enjoyed this analysis, please like, comment, and subscribe to the channel for more regular updates.
➡️ My Buymeacoffee page (to help me pay for the editing of my videos):
https://buymeacoffee.com/joni_askola
➡️ To read my daily threads, follow me on :
Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/joniaskola.bsky.social
X: https://x.com/joni_askola
➡️ Géopodcalypse (pour les francophones):
https://www.youtube.com/@G%C3%A9opodcalypse