This episode unpacks whether Ukraine has turned the tide against Russia on the battlefield and assesses the new security relationship between Ukraine and Europe.

Host:

James M. Lindsay, Mary and David Boies Distinguished Senior Fellow in U.S. Foreign Policy, CFR

Guest:

Liana Fix, Senior Fellow for Europe, CFR

We Discuss:

1. The state of the battlefield in Ukraine after four and a half years of war.
2. How Ukraine’s drone strategy has evolved from frontline attacks to strikes deep inside Russia.
3. Why Russia has failed to achieve its goals on the battlefield and at the negotiating table.
4. Growing frustration among the Russian elite and what it signals about Putin's position.
5. What U.S. intelligence sharing still provides Ukraine and why direct military aid has effectively ended.
6. How European countries have filled the military support gap left by the United States.
7. Whether European support for Ukraine is politically sustainable.
8. What escalation options Putin has left.

00:00 - Introduction to The President’s Inbox
01:32 - State of the War in Ukraine
04:00 - Ukraine’s Tactical Ground Advantage
06:16 - Evolution of Drone Warfare
09:25 - US Intelligence and Military Aid
13:44 - European Strategic Support
15:19 - Sustainability of European Aid
18:34 - Potential for Russian Aggression
21:52 - Burden Sharing with Ukraine
22:35 - Kremlin’s Economic Burden
25:57 - US-Russia Negotiation Status
28:22 - Prospects for a Direct Ceasefire
32:04 - Future Geopolitical Forecast
34:53 - Conclusion and Credits

Find us

Ukraine Turns the Tide, With Liana Fix - https://www.cfr.org/podcasts/presidents-inbox/ukraine-turns-the-tide
The President’s Inbox - https://www.cfr.org/podcasts/presidents-inbox
Apple Podcasts - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-presidents-inbox/id1172546141
Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/65u6jcFyV5BnlVhhzSi7UJ

Related Content

Ukraine Turns the Tide - https://www.foreignaffairs.com/ukraine/ukraine-war-turns-tide

Safer Together: Strengthening Europe's Civilian and Military Preparedness and Readiness - https://commission.europa.eu/topics/defence/safer-together-path-towards-fully-prepared-union_en

Opinions expressed on The President’s Inbox are solely those of the host or our guests, not of CFR, which takes no institutional positions on matters of policy.

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