Topic 1923
00:00:00 Introduction: Istanbul airport, en route to Moscow
00:00:44 Overview: Ukraine situation deteriorating, West in denial
00:02:01 Abramovich back channel attempt and Zelensky response
00:05:32 Oil sanctions fracturing: Russia budget from deficit to surplus
00:07:49 Negotiations at standstill: no effective US pressure on Russia
00:09:06 Warwick Powell and Peter Turin analysis: Ukrainian military collapse timeline
00:11:26 Oreshnik debate: tactical nuclear framing decoded
00:15:49 Oreshnik used against Donetsk fortified area: Putin confirms, Donbass strike
00:21:28 Frontline update: Orikhiv, Kostantinovka, Lyman and Slaviansk
00:25:05 Putin at St Petersburg Forum: regime change language and Donbass objectives
00:32:00 US defaults on Tomahawk missiles to Germany
00:35:28 US troop drawdown from Europe and Pentagon dismay at Trump Poland plan
00:38:39 Post American Europe: the case for eventual Russia rapprochement
00:39:27 Iran missile strikes on Israel: ceasefire talks collapse
00:41:23 Strait of Hormuz oil price spike warning and global energy markets
00:43:39 The perfect storm: Ukraine crisis, Middle East escalation and energy shock
00:44:58 Closing remarks: next program from Moscow

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