Former senior CIA officer Rob Dannenberg joins The Cipher Brief to examine what Russia’s diminished Victory Day parade may reveal about cracks in Vladimir Putin’s power structure, Ukraine’s expanding strike capabilities, and why the next phase of the war could reshape Russia’s future.

Dannenberg explains how visible changes in Moscow - from anti-drone defenses over Red Square to reduced military displays - may signal deeper pressure inside Putin’s system. He also discusses Ukraine’s resolve, strikes on Russian energy infrastructure, the risks facing Russia’s oligarchs and security services, and what Washington should be watching for if Putin’s regime begins to weaken.

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